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Leading transformation in turbulent times: How leaders create momentum despite uncertainty

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Transformation has never been simple, but for today’s senior leaders, the context for change feels uniquely challenging. Successful leaders act with courage and conviction, making decisions while others hesitate.

In the last few years, organisations have had to navigate a level of geopolitical, economic and social change that is more dynamic, interconnected and harder to predict than at any point in recent memory. Political shifts, economic volatility and the rapid rise of artificial intelligence are reshaping how organisations operate, often simultaneously.

For C-suite leaders steering programmes to transform product design, customer engagement, operational/supply chain efficiency and workforce enablement through digital, AI-enabled and ERP programmes, the defining challenge is no longer how to transform when conditions are stable. It is how to lead organisational change when volatility itself has become the norm. The organisations that stay ahead will be those whose leaders create enough clarity, conviction and momentum to move before certainty arrives, if it ever does.

Drawn from the insights and experience of Miles Quinton, a Senior Transformation Advisor to Boards, with 30 years’ experience with PWC and IBM Consulting, this article reflects his thinking on how organisations can create momentum amid uncertainty.

Why transformation cannot wait for certainty

In turbulent periods, Senior Leadership Teams and Boards often hesitate, delaying decisions citing complexity and uncertainty, rather than risk making the wrong decisions. This response can feel rational, but it often creates a form of strategic paralysis, meaning momentum slows, confidence weakens, and organisations become less prepared for the next disruption.

In transformation, indecision risks delay, which can mean losing senior sponsorship, business engagement, talent, and the confidence in the organisation that the programme will ever deliver its promise. This is not only true for transformation programmes that are being considered at Board level, being established and is especially true for large-scale change programmes already underway, where slowing down often only makes momentum significantly harder and more expensive to rebuild later.

How uncertainty can strengthen the case for change

Paradoxically, turbulent periods can make radical transformation easier. In stable conditions, leaders often struggle to persuade stakeholders why change is really necessary when performance is still satisfactory or strong and competitive threats in the future can seem harder to grasp or understand.

In volatile conditions, the case for change is already visible, and the competitive threat can be existential. Customer expectations of products and services are changing, costs are shifting due to inflation or innovation, skills requirements are moving, and long-held assumptions about ‘the market’ are being tested in real time.

The leadership task is to turn that shared awareness into a clear direction, a positive case for action and a practical, implementable plan that engages colleagues. Clear priorities, visible milestones and consistent communication give people confidence that leadership has a way forward; without them, organisations often drift into defensive behaviour and reduced productivity.

Act on what is knowable

One of the biggest mistakes organisations make during volatile periods is treating all decisions as equally uncertain. In reality, many transformation decisions remain highly actionable. Finance processes can still be simplified, controls strengthened, customer journeys redesigned, legacy handoffs automated, and data quality improved. These are not speculative bets; they are foundational improvements that continue to deliver value regardless of macroeconomic noise.

The challenge for leadership teams is to separate what is genuinely uncertain and what only feels uncertain because of the wider environment. This is where experienced transformation leaders add disproportionate value through judgement and pattern recognition, helping sponsors decide which bets require flexibility and which foundations should be built now.

AI, ERP and the cost of delay

Few issues illustrate leadership under uncertainty more clearly than AI. Most executive teams understand that AI and automation will affect tasks and processes at scale, but many are still working through the secondary impacts on organisational structures, workforce management, skills and perceptions of job security. That uncertainty often leads organisations to experiment at the edges while postponing harder decisions about wider adoption. A better response is to provide clarity where certainty is not yet possible:

  • Set out how AI will be adopted and where it will and will not be used
  • How it will be governed and how employee knowledge will be protected
  • How people will be retrained and incentivised to participate in the change

Deloitte reports that 87% of CFOs expect AI to be very or extremely important to Finance operations in 2026, while Gartner says CHRO priorities for 2026 centre on realising AI value and driving performance amid uncertainty.

The same logic applies to ERP and SAP modernisation. These programmes are not just technical upgrades; they are foundational to the deployment of AI.  Core processes and data structures modernised in ERP enable effective AI solutions built in the interaction layers, whether customer, employee, supplier, partner and in complex data mining. ERP will reshape Customer Service, Finance, Procurement, supply chain, HR,  compliance and decision-making.

Moreover, ss the final window for major SAP transitions approaches, the cost of delay rises, driven by constrained specialist capacity, customisation risk and the danger of carrying legacy complexity into the future.

The hardest part of transformation is still human

During periods of disruption, transformation becomes as much about human leadership as programme design. Employees are not insulated from the same uncertainties leaders face and often experience them more directly, from rising living costs, geopolitical anxiety, to growing concerns about the impact of AI on their role.

In that environment, transformation can either heighten anxiety or become a source of stability.

The difference lies in leadership. Colleagues do not expect perfect foresight, but they do look for honesty, direction and evidence that leaders have a credible plan. Leadership communication should therefore consistently answer three questions:

  • Why are we changing now?
  • What future are we building?
  • What does this mean for our people?

When those questions remain unanswered, resistance increases. When they are addressed transparently, people are far more likely to engage constructively.

What high-performance leaders do differently

There are clear parallels between executive decision-making and high-performance sport. In both environments, leaders must act under pressure, often with incomplete information and high consequences. Elite athletes and coaches do not eliminate uncertainty; they train to perform within it. The same disciplines apply to transformation leadership.

Preparation and focus matter. Decision-making under stress improves through practice. Leaders who have worked through previous shocks, technology cycles or restructuring programmes tend to develop stronger judgement as a result.  In turbulent periods, disciplined attention allows leaders to focus on the few variables that materially affect outcomes, rather than being distracted by headlines, speculation or worst-case scenarios.

Mindset and process matter. High performers learn to reframe pressure. Instead of treating a difficult decision as a risk, they see it as a moment of opportunity and focused action. Under stress, people also perform better when they are supported by structure. For leaders, that means structured governance, clear decision checkpoints and a practical focus on the next right action rather than the consequences of a wrong one.

Visualisation can also play a role. Leaders who are able to picture themselves remaining calm and responding decisively under pressure are often better prepared when those situations arise.

The role of experienced advisors and interim leaders

In turbulent periods, organisations benefit from people who have seen comparable shocks before. Experienced interim leaders and advisors bring not just technical expertise, but perspective shaped by previous economic crises, supply chain disruptions and technology change. This allows them to assess the likely scale of the change and the speed of response required, while helping leadership teams strengthen judgement, prioritisation, alignment and composure under pressure. Their role is not to remove uncertainty, but to support better decision-making with confidence.

Clarity is the new competitive advantage

Transformation has always required courage. In today’s environment, that courage looks less like making perfect decisions and more like making informed decisions in imperfect conditions. Uncertainty is unlikely to fade soon; geopolitical shifts, technological acceleration and economic volatility are becoming structural features of the operating environment rather than temporary disruptions.

For C-suite leaders and programme sponsors, the question is no longer whether conditions are stable enough to transform. The real question is whether leaders can build enough clarity to act decisively in the absence of certainty. In more volatile markets, advantage rarely goes to the organisations with the best intentions. It goes to those whose leaders reject the false comfort of delay, focus the organisation on the moves that matter most and sustain visible sponsorship as complexity rises.

Transformation cannot wait for certainty. In turbulent times, clarity is the competitive advantage, and momentum is strategy.


For leaders navigating organisational transformation or considering their next move, clarity and momentum matter. We’d welcome a conversation. Get in touch with our team to start the conversation.

Written by

Miles Quinton

Miles is a Senior Executive Advisor and Digital Transformation Consultant with over 30 years’ experience advising complex global FTSE 100, private equity-backed, and privately owned organisations. He specialises in the design and delivery of large-scale transformation programmes, leveraging AI, automation, and technology to drive meaningful business change.

He works closely with CFOs, Boards, ExCos, and Group Functions to redesign operating models, integrate acquisitions, and deliver enterprise-wide ERP, Finance Transformation, Shared Services, and BPO initiatives.

Miles has supported major transformation, restructuring, cost reduction, AI and automation, digitisation, and ERP programmes across multi-business unit environments, spanning both client-facing and internal functions within global organisations with multi-billion-pound cost bases. He brings a proven track record of delivering transformation that drives structural cost savings, accelerates execution, and enables scalable digitisation across complex, multi-market operations.

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